Tag:backup QBs
Posted on: July 10, 2008 11:27 am

The No. 2 QB dilemma

So while much of the focus on Fantasy QBs is on the top of the rank list (and when they should be taken), a developing concern we have is about the flux of backup Fantasy passers.

No need to breakdown the top dozen Fantasy passers, but the next dozen -- for the most part -- are completely interchangeable and so close as far as potential and likely statistics go.

13. David Garrard
14. Jake Delhomme
15. Aaron Rodgers
16. Jason Campbell
17. Philip Rivers
18. Jon Kitna
19. Matt Schaub
20. Jeff Garcia
21. Vince Young
22. JaMarcus Russell
23. Trent Edwards
24. Matt Leinart
25. Tarvaris Jackson

The expectation is that at least 10 of these guys will get drafted. Which 10 is the question.

Garrard, Delhomme and Rivers are no-brainers. Rodgers is too so long as Favre doesn't come back (and if Favre does come back, then Eli Manning becomes a no-brainer ahead of Garrard and Rodgers falls off the face of the earth).

Everyone else is either a low-risk, medium-reward QB or a high-risk, high-reward option.

Jason Campbell should be good for about 200 yards and two TDs per week, but people fear his ability to grasp the West Coast offense in time for the year. A good preseason will lock him in as a good No. 2, but he won't post amazing stats.

Jon Kitna still has incredible receivers but is now playing in an offense with a running conscious. His days of chucking the rock 45 times per game each week are long gone.

Matt Schaub has the skills and the stud receiver but Houston's schedule is dreadful and Schaub and Andre Johnson are far from locks to play 16 games.

Jeff Garcia was consistent last year, but no one wants to rely on a 54-year-old quarterback with a 55-year-old receiver.

That brings me to the five wild cards of the No. 2 QB derby: Vince Young, JaMarcus Russell, Trent Edwards, Matt Leinart and Tarvaris Jackson. I think most people could take all five guys, throw 'em under a rug and just see who crawls out, but I think I like them differently than how we have them ranked.

Vince Young is like a delicious stuffed Giordano's pizza. You know you shouldn't get involved with him, but the draw to his potential is strong. Young is not only a rusher and a passer, but the Titans have added decent help in Alge Crumpler, Justin McCareins and rookie Chris Johnson that should push Young's passing totals well over 3,000 yards. If he rushes for 500 yards, the Fantasy point equivalent is that to a 4,250-yard passer in standard-scoring leagues. BUT ... those are some huge numbers to associate with a guy who threw 9 TDs in 2007.

Matt Leinart is also appealing because of his stud receiving corps and the expected decline of Edgerrin James. But how much of Kurt Warner will we see in 2008? Will Warner play whenever the Cards must score quickly? Those are opportunities Leinart needs to be a capable Fantasy passer. When Leinart did play last year, he was not Fantasy friendly at all, so a lot of people are scared to draft him.

The other three -- Russell, Edwards and Jackson -- have upside thanks to improved receiving corps (in Russell's case, Darren McFadden is reason for optimism). The potential for a 3,000-yard season is also high with these guys.

So the question I am posing to you guys is to rank the quarterbacks that we have listed 13 through 25, and target three quarterbacks you want the most. I've pretty much ranked mine above, but the three I'd target are: Garrard, Delhomme and Young.

Pass the pizza, please.
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