Tag:Brett Favre
Posted on: July 7, 2008 11:03 am
 

One man's guess on Brett Favre's future

Before reading this blog, please read Peter King's latest story on what's going on with Brett Favre and the Packers right now (forgive me for linking off of CBSSports.com, to a competitor nonetheless, but it's required reading at this point).

Now then ... here's my educated but hardly enlightened guess on how this will play out:

Because it seems apparent that Favre has asked to return to the team, it's just a matter of time before his agent, James 'Bus' Cook, writes the Packers asking for him to be activated from the Reserve/Retired list.

When that happens, the Packers must activate him, trade him or release him. If they activate him, they own his rights and are on the hook for his $12.8 million salary ... unless they then trade him or release him. Both of those options are still available to them.

I expect that letter to be written, and when it is, I expect the Packers to activate Favre, and keep Favre.

There's all this talk about the Packers "moving forward" with Aaron Rodgers and drafting Brian Brohm and Matt Flynn. Yeah, I see that. But there's one thing -- one major thing -- that is more significant than all the wheelings and dealings around the NFL: Winning.

And if Favre is quarterbacking the Packers, they're going to win some games. Like 12 of them, if not more.

If Rodgers is quarterbacking them, they might win 10.

Head coach Mike McCarthy and GM Ted Thompson need to realize that Favre isn't the only "old man" on the team. Donald Driver, Al Harris, Charles Woodson and Chad Clifton are all in their 30s and are relatively close to the end of their respective careers. One last run for a Super Bowl ring might just be what this team needs before they rebuild -- especially if Favre's heart is in it.

The Packers keep Favre, extend Aaron Rodgers and promise that the job is his in 2009. Then they go all out to try and win in 2008. Heck, the Packers might pawn off a draft pick for DE Jason Taylor -- another "one more year" player -- and make a serious, serious run for the Super Bowl.

In fact, if Favre is back with the team before the open of training camp, then I'm going back to my original Super Bowl pick of Green Bay over Cleveland instead of Cleveland over Seattle/Minnesota.

And yeah, I'm drafting Favre with late-round picks in all the drafts I can get in right now.
Category: NFL
Posted on: March 4, 2008 3:37 pm
 

The Fantasy Ramifications of Favre's Retirement

I just deleted Brett Favre's name from our Fantasy Depth Chart, as well as from our Positional Rankings and Top 200. Strange stuff. I've been ranking him since I started doing Fantasy Football years and years ago. Weird feeling.

It's really hard for me to believe that Favre has retired. Didn't think it would happen now. I spent a lot of time this offseason studying the Packers (partially because of the story I'm doing on Ryan Grant and other undrafted RBs), and I thought Favre would be a shoo-in for one final run to glory. The Packers had the cap space and personnel to be in great shape for 2008, then regress in 2009. Would have made for a perfect exit then.

How highly did I think of the Packers in 2008? In my early, early, early Super Bowl XLIII prediction (which always makes for great office humor), I picked the Packers to win it all.

Now, no chance.

Favre's retirement is bad news on a lot of fronts. Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, James Jones and Donald Lee all take a dip in our rankings. That's not to say that Aaron Rodgers is going to be a bad quarterback, but it doesn't take a Fantasy guy to tell you that he won't be as effective as Favre. Jennings is now a top-end No. 2 WR, Driver a No. 4 WR, Lee a top-end No. 2 TE and Jones is ... well, he's still a reserve.

Favre's retirement also takes a quality quarterback out of the Fantasy player pool, and that's an issue because QBs are the "hot" position this year after Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Derek Anderson, and Favre of course, led many owners to Fantasy championships. Not only is the Top 12 a little thinner, but a big-stat quarterback is off the board. Now the idea of passing on a QB in the first few rounds is a little tougher to swallow. Jay Cutler moves into the top 12 thanks to Favre getting bumped out. Aaron Rodgers debuts at 15th overall, ahead of Vince Young and Jon Kitna.

Let's talk about Rodgers and what he brings to the table. Of course he's no Favre, but we'd be naive to think that he's going to be "just another quarterback."

When Rodgers was coming out, I had him higher than Alex Smith in my notes. I liked his arm, football mind and intangibles. I thought he was tougher mentally than Smith. I liked his personality better than Smith's (I got to know both guys a little bit through the work I did on NFL.com). I think he's going to be better than most people think.

And what will help Rodgers along is the Packers offense around him. The receivers are excellent, the offensive line has developed and the running game has plenty of talent. He doesn't have to learn a new offense or get to know a fresh batch of players. All he has to do is go on the field, get in the huddle and play ball. Any NFL quarterback can do that.

Because of the talent around him, his numbers won't be bad. Will he get 300 yards and three touchdowns per week? Not unless he plays the Lions 16 times a year (ba-dum-bum). But he won't be a walking car crash in a green jersey, either.
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com